Business Outlook 2026 | Childcare & Education


In this section, we explore the childcare and education markets in 2025 and provide predictions for the sector in 2026.

Market Overview

2025 was a year of transformational change across the UK’s childcare and education sectors.

We experienced an incredibly active market, largely fuelled by an increase in longer-established businesses with solid earnings being put up for sale for the first time – a common trend that has emerged due to recent tax reforms, which prompted owners to sell.

Fiscal and legislative shifts, teamed with changing sector dynamics, have also led some operators to reshape their acquisition strategies into derisking strategies, selectively buying complementary businesses to protect and diversify forward-looking revenues.

Activity has been seen across all corners of the UK and from a range of buyer types – from new entrants through to small and medium-sized regional groups. Larger corporate buyers have largely engaged in very competitive bidding for the most sought-after acquisition opportunities.

Despite wider geopolitical and economic considerations, the UK childcare and education sectors continue to draw interest from international trade buyers and investors. With these businesses offering scope for further innovation and consolidation, teamed with their ESG credentials appeal, buyer and investor appetite has remained strong for high-quality businesses that evidence solid and stable earnings.

From an operational perspective, the past year has brought challenges, with business owners having to deal with increased Employer National Insurance contributions, wage increases, energy and other operational cost inflations, which, for many, have led to higher operational cost margins. Some businesses have been able to offset these costs through occupancy growth and associated revenues, enabling sustainment and, in some cases, improvements in earnings.  

Courteney Donaldson

Courteney Donaldson

Managing Director - Childcare & Education

Outlook for 2026

2025 was an incredibly active year in market activity terms, and we have every expectation that 2026 will follow suit. 

Operators, investors, and stakeholders will need to remain agile, informed, and work in a collaborative manner to navigate the evolving landscape and ensure sustainable growth and quality outcomes for children and their families. Those looking to buy a childcare and education business will also need to be nimble and on the front foot in 2026, as competitive processes for the most sought-after childcare and education businesses are expected to maintain, and even gain, pace in terms of activity.

Looking longer-term, funding adequacy for early years, the visibility of SEND reform proposals, and pupil stabilisation for independent schools are areas which hugely lack visibility and need addressing. At the start of the summer in 2025, the Government published its Infrastructure Pipeline, outlining £725 billion in public funding over 10 years for UK education estate upgrades, including nurseries, schools, colleges, and universities. Supporting its 10-Year Strategy and Plan for Change, the pipeline emphasises major capital investment and the vital role of private sector contributions in transforming infrastructure.

UK Market Data

37%
increase in the number of childcare and education businesses seeking pricing advice for sale purposes
29%
increase in the number of new childcare and education business properties brought to market
14%
increase in viewings
76%
of transactions were leasehold
101%
of the asking price was achieved on the day nurseries sold
100%
of the asking price was achieved on the independent schools sold

Market Sentiment

We anonymously surveyed childcare and education professionals across the country to gather their views on the year ahead.